Forecast 8247bda2 · published 2026-09-02
What was claimed
Confidence at publication
What happened
Interval 0.0-0.3 missed the observed 2.0 (flat) in 2026-W33; point estimate was 0.1 (down).
Observed history
How we know
Evidence
Confidence
Source diversity
1 source
100% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-09-02
Reality validation
How this forecast was made
Track record for agile coach
13 forecasts published, 8 scored, mean accuracy 39%.
Primary sources