Forecast 61a5b553 · published 2026-09-02
What was claimed
Confidence at publication
What happened
Interval 0.0-0.8 missed the observed 32.0 (up) in 2026-W33; point estimate was 0.2 (flat).
Observed history
How we know
Evidence
Confidence
Source diversity
1 source
100% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-09-02
Reality validation
How this forecast was made
Track record for software engineer
10 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 32%.
Primary sources