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Forecast f7163551 · published 2026-08-19

Around 0 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Jul 20–26, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 0 the week of Jun 22–28, 2026.

Missed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Jul 20–26, 2026
Predicted mentions
0 job postings
Direction
→ Roughly flat
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-07-26
Expires
2026-08-02

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
4 job postings
Off by
4 postings
Accuracy
9%
Direction
✗ Missed
Predicted range
✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 0.0-0.8 missed the observed 4.0 (up) in 2026-W30; point estimate was 0.3 (flat).

Observed history

aws — the series behind the fit

May 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 15–21, 2026: 1 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentions

How we know

Evidence

1

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

1 source

100% from one source — treat as narrow

Last updated

2026-08-19

Reality validation

Predicted
0.35
Actual
4
Accuracy
9%
Direction
missed

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-07-26
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for aws

14 forecasts published, 13 scored, mean accuracy 44%.

Primary sources

1 source
Proxify AB: Senior Fullstack Developer (Python)job listing