Forecast e36a0846 · published 2026-08-19
What was claimed
Confidence at publication
What happened
Interval 0.0-0.7 missed the observed 10.0 (up) in 2026-W31; point estimate was 0.3 (flat).
Observed history
How we know
Evidence
Confidence
Source diversity
1 source
100% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-08-19
Reality validation
How this forecast was made
Track record for azure
17 forecasts published, 11 scored, mean accuracy 45%.
Primary sources