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Forecast 0d311da2 · published 2026-08-19

Around 0 job postings mentioning machine learning are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 0–1, 80% coverage) — down from 1 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.

Missed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Aug 3–9, 2026
Predicted mentions
0 job postings
Direction
↓ Falling
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-08-09
Expires
2026-08-16

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
2 job postings
Off by
2 postings
Accuracy
17%
Direction
✗ Missed
Predicted range
✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 0.0-0.7 missed the observed 2.0 (up) in 2026-W32; point estimate was 0.3 (down).

Observed history

machine learning — the series behind the fit

Jun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 1 mentions

How we know

Evidence

1

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

1 source

100% from one source — treat as narrow

Last updated

2026-08-19

Reality validation

Predicted
0.34
Actual
2
Accuracy
17%
Direction
missed

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-08-09
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for machine learning

10 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 56%.

Primary sources

1 source
Machine Learning Engineerjob listing