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Forecast c3eb74c3 · published 2026-09-02

Around 0 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Aug 17–23, 2026 (likely range: 0–0, 80% coverage) — down from 1 the week of Jul 20–26, 2026.

Missed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Aug 17–23, 2026
Predicted mentions
0 job postings
Direction
↓ Falling
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-08-23
Expires
2026-08-30

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
1 job postings
Off by
1 postings
Accuracy
4%
Direction
✗ Missed
Predicted range
✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 0.0-0.2 missed the observed 1.0 (flat) in 2026-W34; point estimate was 0.0 (down).

Observed history

process improvement — the series behind the fit

Jun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 1 mentions

How we know

Evidence

1

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

1 source

100% from one source — treat as narrow

Last updated

2026-09-02

Reality validation

Predicted
0.04
Actual
1
Accuracy
4%
Direction
missed

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-08-23
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for process improvement

10 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 16%.

Primary sources

1 source
Jobgether: Product Manager – Progressive Web Apps (PWA)job listing