SHIOSStrategic Honesty Intelligence
All forecasts

Forecast a51b3eaf · published 2026-07-30

Around 1 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Jul 6–12, 2026 (likely range: 0–5, 80% confidence) — down from 2 the week of Jun 8–14, 2026.

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Jul 6–12, 2026
Predicted mentions
1 job postings
Direction
↓ Falling
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-07-12
Expires
2026-07-19

Confidence at publication

12%

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
1 job postings
Off by
0 postings
Accuracy
85%
Direction
✓ Called correctly

Interval 0.0-4.9 covered the observed 1.0 (down) in 2026-W28; point estimate was 1.2 (down).

Observed history

agile coach — the series behind the fit

May 4–10, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentions

How we know

Evidence

16+

Confidence

12%

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-30

Reality validation

Predicted
1.18
Actual
1
Accuracy
85%
Direction
called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-07-12
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for agile coach

4 forecasts published, 3 scored, mean accuracy 55%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.