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Forecast 1bf8e67a · published 2026-08-19
Around 1 job postings mentioning ai literacy are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–2, 80% coverage) — down from 3 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.
Missed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 1 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-08-02
- Expires
- 2026-08-09
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 964 job postings
- Off by
- 963 postings
- Accuracy
- 0%
- Direction
- ✗ Missed
- Predicted range
- ✗ Actual fell outside it
Interval 0.0-2.4 missed the observed 964.0 (up) in 2026-W31; point estimate was 1.1 (down).
Observed history
ai literacy — the series behind the fit
May 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 3 mentions
How we know
Evidence
3
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
2 sources
Last updated
2026-08-19
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 1.11
- Actual
- 964
- Accuracy
- 0%
- Direction
- missed
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-08-02
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for ai literacy
13 forecasts published, 13 scored, mean accuracy 37%.
Primary sources
Coin Market Cap: Technical AI Product Manager2026-06-30job listing
Arize Ai: Open Source Design Engineer2026-06-30job listing