Forecast 34540474 · published 2026-08-19
What was claimed
Confidence at publication
What happened
Interval 0.2-1.9 missed the observed 115.0 (up) in 2026-W31; point estimate was 1.0 (down).
Observed history
How we know
Evidence
Confidence
Source diversity
2 sources
Last updated
2026-08-19
Reality validation
How this forecast was made
Track record for automation
21 forecasts published, 15 scored, mean accuracy 42%.
Primary sources