Around 1 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Jul 6–12, 2026 (likely range: 0–4, 80% coverage) — down from 2 the week of Jun 8–14, 2026.

Confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period: Jul 6–12, 2026
Predicted mentions: 1 job postings
Direction: ↓ Falling
Method: Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by: 2026-07-12
Expires: 2026-07-19

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions: 1 job postings
Off by: 0 postings
Accuracy: 82%
Direction: ✓ Called correctly
Predicted range: ✓ Actual fell inside it

Interval 0.0-3.6 covered the observed 1.0 (down) in 2026-W28; point estimate was 1.2 (down).

Observed history

change management — the series behind the fit

May 4–10, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentions

How we know

Evidence

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-30

Reality validation

Predicted: 1.22
Actual: 1
Accuracy: 82%
Direction: called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach: Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead: 4 weeks
Checked against reality by: 2026-07-12
Can it be edited?: No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for change management

15 forecasts published, 9 scored, mean accuracy 30%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.