Forecasts
G
← All forecasts
Forecast aa18c39d · published 2026-08-15
Around 10 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 6–14, 80% coverage) — down from 12 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.
Missed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Sep 7–13, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 10 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-09-13
- Expires
- 2026-09-20
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 118 job postings
- Off by
- 108 postings
- Accuracy
- 9%
- Direction
- ✗ Missed
- Predicted range
- ✗ Actual fell outside it
Interval 6.3-14.3 missed the observed 118.0 (up) in 2026-W37; point estimate was 10.3 (down).
Observed history
project manager — the series behind the fit
Jul 6–12, 2026: 6 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 6 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 10 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 9 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 4 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 16 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
3 sources
Last updated
2026-08-15
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 10.27
- Actual
- 118
- Accuracy
- 9%
- Direction
- missed
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-09-13
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for project manager
16 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 18%.
Primary sources
Lifecycle Project Manager- Power & Energy2026-07-29job listing
Airtable: Program Manager, Professional Services - East2026-07-22job listing
Commercial Project Manager – Customer Management2026-07-20job listing
Power & Energy Project Manager2026-07-31job listing