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Forecast c929c68e · published 2026-08-18
Around 10 job postings mentioning jira are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 2–18, 80% confidence) — roughly flat from 10 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Sep 14–20, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 10 job postings
- Direction
- → Roughly flat
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-09-20
- Expires
- 2026-09-27
Confidence at publication
11%
What happened
Outcome
Not yet scored. This forecast is still inside its review window, so nothing here is proven — it is a claim awaiting a verdict.
Observed history
jira — the series behind the fit
Jul 13–19, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 22 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 13 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 0 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 10 mentionsAug 17–23, 2026: 11 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
11%
Source diversity
2 sources
98% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-08-18
Reality validation
Not yet scored against reality.
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-09-20
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for jira
8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 81%.
Primary sources