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Forecast b4489d8f · published 2026-07-29

Around 100 job postings mentioning ai literacy are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 45–155, 80% coverage) — down from 115 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

Confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Aug 24–30, 2026
Predicted mentions
100 job postings
Direction
↓ Falling
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-08-30
Expires
2026-09-06

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
66 job postings
Off by
34 postings
Accuracy
66%
Direction
✗ Missed
Predicted range
✓ Actual fell inside it

Interval 45.4-155.0 covered the observed 66.0 (up) in 2026-W35; point estimate was 100.2 (down).

Observed history

ai literacy — the series behind the fit

Jun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 3 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 2 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 1 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-29

Reality validation

Predicted
100.2
Actual
66
Accuracy
66%
Direction
missed

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-08-30
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for ai literacy

13 forecasts published, 13 scored, mean accuracy 37%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.