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Forecast b4489d8f · published 2026-07-29
Around 100 job postings mentioning ai literacy are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 45–155, 80% confidence) — down from 115 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Aug 24–30, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 100 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-08-30
- Expires
- 2026-09-06
Confidence at publication
14%
What happened
Outcome
Not yet scored. This forecast is still inside its review window, so nothing here is proven — it is a claim awaiting a verdict.
Observed history
ai literacy — the series behind the fit
Jun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 3 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 105 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 964 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
14%
Source diversity
0 sources
Last updated
2026-07-29
Reality validation
Not yet scored against reality.
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-08-30
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for ai literacy
8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 86%.
No source documents resolve for this artefact.