SHIOSStrategic Honesty Intelligence
All forecasts

Forecast ebfc703b · published 2026-07-29

Around 12 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 8–15, 80% confidence) — up from 10 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Jul 13–19, 2026
Predicted mentions
12 job postings
Direction
↑ Rising
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-07-19
Expires
2026-07-26

Confidence at publication

26%

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
10 job postings
Off by
2 postings
Accuracy
87%
Direction
✗ Missed

Interval 8.2-14.9 covered the observed 10.0 (flat) in 2026-W29; point estimate was 11.5 (up).

Observed history

anthropic api — the series behind the fit

May 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentions

How we know

Evidence

34+

Confidence

26%

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-29

Reality validation

Predicted
11.54
Actual
10
Accuracy
87%
Direction
missed

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-07-19
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for anthropic api

8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 81%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.