Forecast 9a7f72e0 · published 2026-09-07
What was claimed
Confidence at publication
What happened
Interval 0.0-42.1 covered the observed 32.0 (down) in 2026-W41; point estimate was 13.7 (down).
Observed history
How we know
Evidence
Confidence
Source diversity
2 sources
Last updated
2026-09-07
Reality validation
How this forecast was made
Track record for data analysis
20 forecasts published, 14 scored, mean accuracy 39%.
Primary sources