Forecast 878cf138 · published 2026-07-29
What was claimed
Confidence at publication
What happened
Interval 4.5-21.8 missed the observed 223.0 (up) in 2026-W35; point estimate was 13.2 (up).
Observed history
How we know
Evidence
Confidence
Source diversity
1 source
100% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-07-29
Reality validation
How this forecast was made
Track record for data analysis
20 forecasts published, 14 scored, mean accuracy 39%.
Primary sources