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Forecast 257608f6 · published 2026-08-31

Around 15 job postings mentioning postgresql are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–45, 80% coverage) — down from 61 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

Confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Predicted mentions
15 job postings
Direction
↓ Falling
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-10-04
Expires
2026-10-11

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
1 job postings
Off by
14 postings
Accuracy
6%
Direction
✓ Called correctly
Predicted range
✓ Actual fell inside it

Interval 0.0-45.0 covered the observed 1.0 (down) in 2026-W40; point estimate was 15.5 (down).

Observed history

postgresql — the series behind the fit

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 0 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 0 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 1 mentionsAug 17–23, 2026: 0 mentionsAug 24–30, 2026: 3 mentionsAug 31–Sep 6, 2026: 2 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

2 sources

98% from one source — treat as narrow

Last updated

2026-08-31

Reality validation

Predicted
15.46
Actual
1
Accuracy
6%
Direction
called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-10-04
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for postgresql

10 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 19%.

Primary sources

12 sources
Fortemi/fortemigithub.com
afkbot-io/tasktopiagithub.com
dannyota/compliarygithub.com
CasualOffice/TaskForgegithub.com
Naturejackofalltrades252/brain-tree-osgithub.com