Forecasts
G
← All forecasts
Forecast 7f20f3ae · published 2026-10-19
Around 14 job postings mentioning team leadership are expected the week of Nov 16–22, 2026 (likely range: 0–34, 80% coverage) — down from 21 the week of Oct 19–25, 2026.
Not yet resolved
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Nov 16–22, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 14 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-11-22
- Expires
- 2026-11-29
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
Not yet scored. This forecast is still inside its review window, so nothing here is proven — it is a claim awaiting a verdict.
Observed history
team leadership — the series behind the fit
Sep 14–20, 2026: 10 mentionsSep 21–27, 2026: 12 mentionsSep 28–Oct 4, 2026: 58 mentionsOct 5–11, 2026: 81 mentionsOct 12–18, 2026: 93 mentionsOct 19–25, 2026: 21 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
2 sources
93% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-10-19
Reality validation
Not yet scored against reality.
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-11-22
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for team leadership
2 forecasts published, 0 scored — none scored yet, so this entity's forecasts are unproven.
Primary sources
Federal Aviation Administration — Supervisory Air Traffic Control Specialist, Operations Supervisor2026-09-30usajobs