SHIOSStrategic Honesty Intelligence
All forecasts

Forecast c2ae3a6f · published 2026-08-18

Around 15 job postings mentioning docker are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 1–29, 80% confidence) — down from 17 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Sep 14–20, 2026
Predicted mentions
15 job postings
Direction
↓ Falling
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-09-20
Expires
2026-09-27

Confidence at publication

10%

What happened

Outcome

Not yet scored. This forecast is still inside its review window, so nothing here is proven — it is a claim awaiting a verdict.

Observed history

docker — the series behind the fit

Jul 13–19, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 12 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 44 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 0 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 5 mentionsAug 17–23, 2026: 23 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

10%

Source diversity

2 sources

95% from one source — treat as narrow

Last updated

2026-08-18

Reality validation

Not yet scored against reality.

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-09-20
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for docker

8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 30%.

Primary sources

12 sources
bob132998/commitflowgithub.com
Dri-water/be-a-bossgithub.com
Mortada2003/Projectifygithub.com
IHUI-INF-AI/IHUI-AIgithub.com
dinglebear-ai/cortexgithub.com