Around 18 job postings mentioning risk management are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 13–22, 80% coverage) — up from 12 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

Confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period: Jul 13–19, 2026
Predicted mentions: 18 job postings
Direction: ↑ Rising
Method: Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by: 2026-07-19
Expires: 2026-07-26

Confidence at publication

Moderate signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions: 16 job postings
Off by: 2 postings
Accuracy: 90%
Direction: ✓ Called correctly
Predicted range: ✓ Actual fell inside it

Interval 13.1-22.3 covered the observed 16.0 (up) in 2026-W29; point estimate was 17.7 (up).

Observed history

risk management — the series behind the fit

May 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

Moderate signal

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-29

Reality validation

Predicted: 17.71
Actual: 16
Accuracy: 90%
Direction: called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach: Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead: 4 weeks
Checked against reality by: 2026-07-19
Can it be edited?: No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for risk management

14 forecasts published, 8 scored, mean accuracy 45%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.