Forecasts
G
← All forecasts
Forecast a0d87512 · published 2026-08-24
Around 329 job postings mentioning ai literacy are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–1030, 80% coverage) — down from 4166 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.
Confirmed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Sep 21–27, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 329 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-09-27
- Expires
- 2026-10-04
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 39 job postings
- Off by
- 290 postings
- Accuracy
- 12%
- Direction
- ✓ Called correctly
- Predicted range
- ✓ Actual fell inside it
Interval 0.0-1029.9 covered the observed 39.0 (down) in 2026-W39; point estimate was 329.3 (down).
Observed history
ai literacy — the series behind the fit
Jul 20–26, 2026: 2 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 1 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 2 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 1 mentionsAug 17–23, 2026: 2 mentionsAug 24–30, 2026: 66 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
1 source
100% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-08-24
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 329.31
- Actual
- 39
- Accuracy
- 12%
- Direction
- called correctly
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-09-27
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for ai literacy
13 forecasts published, 13 scored, mean accuracy 37%.
Primary sources