SHIOSStrategic Honesty Intelligence
All forecasts

Forecast 7e87d958 · published 2026-07-30

Around 2 job postings for agile coach roles are expected the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026 (likely range: 0–7, 80% confidence) — up from 1 the week of Jun 1–7, 2026.

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026
Predicted mentions
2 job postings
Direction
↑ Rising
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-07-05
Expires
2026-07-12

Confidence at publication

9%

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
2 job postings
Off by
0 postings
Accuracy
80%
Direction
✓ Called correctly

Interval 0.0-6.8 covered the observed 2.0 (up) in 2026-W27; point estimate was 1.6 (up).

Observed history

agile coach — the series behind the fit

May 4–10, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentions

How we know

Evidence

14

Confidence

9%

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-30

Reality validation

Predicted
1.6
Actual
2
Accuracy
80%
Direction
called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-07-05
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for agile coach

4 forecasts published, 3 scored, mean accuracy 55%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.