Forecasts
G
← All forecasts
Forecast 85ee0a54 · published 2026-08-24
Around 9 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–32, 80% coverage) — down from 192 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.
Partially confirmed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Sep 21–27, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 9 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-09-27
- Expires
- 2026-10-04
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 76 job postings
- Off by
- 67 postings
- Accuracy
- 12%
- Direction
- ✓ Called correctly
- Predicted range
- ✗ Actual fell outside it
Interval 0.0-32.1 missed the observed 76.0 (down) in 2026-W39; point estimate was 9.5 (down).
Observed history
project manager — the series behind the fit
Jul 20–26, 2026: 10 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 9 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 4 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 16 mentionsAug 17–23, 2026: 14 mentionsAug 24–30, 2026: 187 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
3 sources
Last updated
2026-08-24
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 9.48
- Actual
- 76
- Accuracy
- 12%
- Direction
- called correctly
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-09-27
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for project manager
16 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 18%.
Primary sources
Lifecycle Project Manager- Power & Energy2026-07-29job listing
Airtable: Program Manager, Professional Services - East2026-07-22job listing
Commercial Project Manager – Customer Management2026-07-20job listing