Around 2 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–3, 80% coverage) — down from 4 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.

Missed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period: Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
Predicted mentions: 2 job postings
Direction: ↓ Falling
Method: Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by: 2026-08-02
Expires: 2026-08-09

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions: 172 job postings
Off by: 170 postings
Accuracy: 1%
Direction: ✗ Missed
Predicted range: ✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 0.0-3.3 missed the observed 172.0 (up) in 2026-W31; point estimate was 1.5 (down).

Observed history

software engineer — the series behind the fit

May 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 15–21, 2026: 1 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 4 mentions

How we know

Evidence

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

1 source

100% from one source — treat as narrow

Last updated

2026-08-19

Reality validation

Predicted: 1.54
Actual: 172
Accuracy: 1%
Direction: missed

How this forecast was made

Approach: Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead: 4 weeks
Checked against reality by: 2026-08-02
Can it be edited?: No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for software engineer

10 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 32%.

Primary sources

5 sources

Base.com: Full-Stack Developer (React + AWS)2026-06-30job listing

Holepunch: Product / Technical Project Manager (100% Remote, Worldwide)2026-06-30job listing

Openrouter: Developer Product Marketing Lead2026-06-30job listing

Proxify AB: Senior Fullstack Developer (Python)2026-06-17job listing

Khibraty: Lead Full-stack Developer (Full-Time Remote Contractor)2026-06-30job listing