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Forecast 18ca1c8e · published 2026-08-19
Around 2 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 1–2, 80% coverage) — roughly flat from 2 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.
Missed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Aug 3–9, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 2 job postings
- Direction
- → Roughly flat
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-08-09
- Expires
- 2026-08-16
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 0 job postings
- Off by
- 2 postings
- Accuracy
- 0%
- Direction
- ✗ Missed
- Predicted range
- ✗ Actual fell outside it
Interval 0.6-2.4 missed the observed 0.0 (down) in 2026-W32; point estimate was 1.5 (flat).
Observed history
automation — the series behind the fit
Jun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 15–21, 2026: 1 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 2 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 2 mentions
How we know
Evidence
5
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
2 sources
Last updated
2026-08-19
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 1.51
- Actual
- 0
- Accuracy
- 0%
- Direction
- missed
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-08-09
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for automation
21 forecasts published, 15 scored, mean accuracy 42%.
Primary sources
Win Home Inspection: DevOps Engineer2026-06-30job listing
Proxify AB: Senior Fullstack Developer (Python)2026-06-17job listing