Around 2 job postings mentioning change management are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 0–4, 80% coverage) — down from 3 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

Partially confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period: Jul 13–19, 2026
Predicted mentions: 2 job postings
Direction: ↓ Falling
Method: Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by: 2026-07-19
Expires: 2026-07-26

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions: 0 job postings
Off by: 2 postings
Accuracy: 0%
Direction: ✓ Called correctly
Predicted range: ✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 0.0-4.3 missed the observed 0.0 (down) in 2026-W29; point estimate was 2.2 (down).

Observed history

change management — the series behind the fit

May 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentions

How we know

Evidence

15+

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-30

Reality validation

Predicted: 2.18
Actual: 0
Accuracy: 0%
Direction: called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach: Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead: 4 weeks
Checked against reality by: 2026-07-19
Can it be edited?: No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for change management

15 forecasts published, 9 scored, mean accuracy 30%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.