Forecast 1f79e643 · published 2026-08-26
What was claimed
Confidence at publication
What happened
Interval 0.0-60.1 missed the observed 146.0 (down) in 2026-W39; point estimate was 14.5 (down).
Observed history
How we know
Evidence
Confidence
Source diversity
3 sources
Last updated
2026-08-26
Reality validation
How this forecast was made
Track record for coaching
15 forecasts published, 9 scored, mean accuracy 48%.
Primary sources