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Forecast 919b61f1 · published 2026-08-19
Around 20 job postings mentioning agile delivery are expected the week of Aug 3–9, 2026 (likely range: 4–36, 80% coverage) — down from 40 the week of Jul 6–12, 2026.
Confirmed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Aug 3–9, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 20 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-08-09
- Expires
- 2026-08-16
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 13 job postings
- Off by
- 7 postings
- Accuracy
- 64%
- Direction
- ✓ Called correctly
- Predicted range
- ✓ Actual fell inside it
Interval 4.3-36.3 covered the observed 13.0 (down) in 2026-W32; point estimate was 20.3 (down).
Observed history
agile delivery — the series behind the fit
Jun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 22 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 40 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
2 sources
98% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-08-19
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 20.32
- Actual
- 13
- Accuracy
- 64%
- Direction
- called correctly
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-08-09
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for agile delivery
20 forecasts published, 14 scored, mean accuracy 46%.
Primary sources