Forecast 7c36680e · published 2026-07-29

Around 22 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 17–27, 80% confidence) — up from 18 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period: Jul 13–19, 2026
Predicted mentions: 22 job postings
Direction: ↑ Rising
Method: Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by: 2026-07-19
Expires: 2026-07-26

Confidence at publication

39%

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions: 18 job postings
Off by: 4 postings
Accuracy: 82%
Direction: ✗ Missed

Interval 17.3-26.9 covered the observed 18.0 (flat) in 2026-W29; point estimate was 22.1 (up).

Observed history

automation — the series behind the fit

May 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 15–21, 2026: 1 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

39%

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-29

Reality validation

Predicted: 22.07
Actual: 18
Accuracy: 82%
Direction: missed

How this forecast was made

Approach: Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead: 4 weeks
Checked against reality by: 2026-07-19
Can it be edited?: No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for automation

8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 83%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.