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Forecast ce90726e · published 2026-07-29
Around 25 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 7–43, 80% coverage) — down from 32 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.
Confirmed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Aug 24–30, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 25 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-08-30
- Expires
- 2026-09-06
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 37 job postings
- Off by
- 12 postings
- Accuracy
- 68%
- Direction
- ✗ Missed
- Predicted range
- ✓ Actual fell inside it
Interval 7.4-43.2 covered the observed 37.0 (up) in 2026-W35; point estimate was 25.3 (down).
Observed history
software engineer — the series behind the fit
Jun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 4 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 29 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 22 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
1 source
100% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-07-29
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 25.32
- Actual
- 37
- Accuracy
- 68%
- Direction
- missed
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-08-30
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for software engineer
10 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 32%.
Primary sources