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Forecast b803e52a · published 2026-09-02
Around 3 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Aug 17–23, 2026 (likely range: 0–10, 80% coverage) — down from 64 the week of Jul 20–26, 2026.
Missed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Aug 17–23, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 3 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-08-23
- Expires
- 2026-08-30
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 771 job postings
- Off by
- 768 postings
- Accuracy
- 0%
- Direction
- ✗ Missed
- Predicted range
- ✗ Actual fell outside it
Interval 0.0-10.3 missed the observed 771.0 (up) in 2026-W34; point estimate was 2.5 (down).
Observed history
software engineer — the series behind the fit
Jun 15–21, 2026: 1 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 4 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 29 mentions
How we know
Evidence
30+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
2 sources
Last updated
2026-09-02
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 2.54
- Actual
- 771
- Accuracy
- 0%
- Direction
- missed
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-08-23
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for software engineer
10 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 32%.
Primary sources
Gusto, Inc.: Staff Software Engineer, AI Developer Tools2026-07-22job listing
Python and Kubernetes Software Engineer – Data, Workflows, AI/ML & Analytics2026-07-21job listing
Software Engineer – Solutions Engineering2026-07-21job listing
Base.com: Full-Stack Developer (React + AWS)2026-06-30job listing