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Forecast bc931020 · published 2026-07-29
Around 3 job postings mentioning docker are expected the week of Jul 13–19, 2026 (likely range: 0–8, 80% confidence) — roughly flat from 3 the week of Jun 15–21, 2026.
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Jul 13–19, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 3 job postings
- Direction
- → Roughly flat
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-07-19
- Expires
- 2026-07-26
Confidence at publication
9%
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 7 job postings
- Off by
- 4 postings
- Accuracy
- 47%
- Direction
- ✗ Missed
Interval 0.0-7.7 covered the observed 7.0 (up) in 2026-W29; point estimate was 3.3 (flat).
Observed history
docker — the series behind the fit
May 11–17, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 18–24, 2026: 0 mentionsMay 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 15–21, 2026: 1 mentions
How we know
Evidence
19+
Confidence
9%
Source diversity
0 sources
Last updated
2026-07-29
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 3.29
- Actual
- 7
- Accuracy
- 47%
- Direction
- missed
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-07-19
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for docker
8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 30%.
No source documents resolve for this artefact.