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Forecast c99a4f04 · published 2026-10-12
Around 34 job postings mentioning process improvement are expected the week of Nov 9–15, 2026 (likely range: 0–79, 80% coverage) — down from 101 the week of Oct 12–18, 2026.
Not yet resolved
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Nov 9–15, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 34 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-11-15
- Expires
- 2026-11-22
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
Not yet scored. This forecast is still inside its review window, so nothing here is proven — it is a claim awaiting a verdict.
Observed history
process improvement — the series behind the fit
Sep 7–13, 2026: 73 mentionsSep 14–20, 2026: 165 mentionsSep 21–27, 2026: 114 mentionsSep 28–Oct 4, 2026: 86 mentionsOct 5–11, 2026: 60 mentionsOct 12–18, 2026: 101 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
2 sources
98% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-10-12
Reality validation
Not yet scored against reality.
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-11-15
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for process improvement
10 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 16%.
Primary sources