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Forecast 594d1e2e · published 2026-10-05
Around 36 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Nov 2–8, 2026 (likely range: 0–81, 80% coverage) — down from 128 the week of Oct 5–11, 2026.
Not yet resolved
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Nov 2–8, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 36 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-11-08
- Expires
- 2026-11-15
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
Not yet scored. This forecast is still inside its review window, so nothing here is proven — it is a claim awaiting a verdict.
Observed history
program manager — the series behind the fit
Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026: 219 mentionsSep 7–13, 2026: 153 mentionsSep 14–20, 2026: 131 mentionsSep 21–27, 2026: 115 mentionsSep 28–Oct 4, 2026: 139 mentionsOct 5–11, 2026: 128 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
1 source
100% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-10-05
Reality validation
Not yet scored against reality.
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-11-08
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for program manager
20 forecasts published, 14 scored, mean accuracy 38%.
Primary sources