Forecast e394e0bc · published 2026-08-15
What was claimed
Confidence at publication
What happened
Interval 0.0-76.2 covered the observed 0.0 (flat) in 2026-W37; point estimate was 32.4 (up).
Observed history
How we know
Evidence
Confidence
Source diversity
1 source
100% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-08-15
Reality validation
How this forecast was made
Track record for anthropic api
12 forecasts published, 11 scored, mean accuracy 33%.
Primary sources