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Forecast 8f78d802 · published 2026-08-24
Around 58 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Sep 21–27, 2026 (likely range: 0–177, 80% coverage) — down from 658 the week of Aug 24–30, 2026.
Confirmed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Sep 21–27, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 58 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-09-27
- Expires
- 2026-10-04
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 17 job postings
- Off by
- 41 postings
- Accuracy
- 29%
- Direction
- ✓ Called correctly
- Predicted range
- ✓ Actual fell inside it
Interval 0.0-176.6 covered the observed 17.0 (down) in 2026-W39; point estimate was 58.3 (down).
Observed history
software engineer — the series behind the fit
Jul 20–26, 2026: 29 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 22 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 6 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 10 mentionsAug 17–23, 2026: 25 mentionsAug 24–30, 2026: 43 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
2 sources
Last updated
2026-08-24
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 58.32
- Actual
- 17
- Accuracy
- 29%
- Direction
- called correctly
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-09-27
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for software engineer
10 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 32%.
Primary sources
Gusto, Inc.: Staff Software Engineer, AI Developer Tools2026-07-22job listing
Python and Kubernetes Software Engineer – Data, Workflows, AI/ML & Analytics2026-07-21job listing
Software Engineer – Solutions Engineering2026-07-21job listing