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Forecast 684dd5d2 · published 2026-07-29

Around 35 job postings mentioning cloud architecture are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 17–53, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.

Partially confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Aug 24–30, 2026
Predicted mentions
35 job postings
Direction
↑ Rising
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-08-30
Expires
2026-09-06

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
136 job postings
Off by
101 postings
Accuracy
26%
Direction
✓ Called correctly
Predicted range
✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 17.1-53.0 missed the observed 136.0 (up) in 2026-W35; point estimate was 35.1 (up).

Observed history

cloud architecture — the series behind the fit

Jun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 2 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 1 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 3 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 8 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

0 sources

Last updated

2026-07-29

Reality validation

Predicted
35.08
Actual
136
Accuracy
26%
Direction
called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-08-30
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for cloud architecture

19 forecasts published, 15 scored, mean accuracy 42%.

No source documents resolve for this artefact.