SHIOSStrategic Honesty Intelligence
All forecasts

Forecast 6b73ffb5 · published 2026-08-18

Around 36 job postings mentioning anthropic api are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–78, 80% confidence) — up from 35 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Sep 14–20, 2026
Predicted mentions
36 job postings
Direction
↑ Rising
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-09-20
Expires
2026-09-27

Confidence at publication

9%

What happened

Outcome

Not yet scored. This forecast is still inside its review window, so nothing here is proven — it is a claim awaiting a verdict.

Observed history

anthropic api — the series behind the fit

Jul 13–19, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 22 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 133 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 0 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 7 mentionsAug 17–23, 2026: 47 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

9%

Source diversity

1 source

100% from one source — treat as narrow

Last updated

2026-08-18

Reality validation

Not yet scored against reality.

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-09-20
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for anthropic api

8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 81%.

Primary sources

12 sources
mrnicholasbcarter-code/verdict-coregithub.com
Rudekwydra/burnlessgithub.com
PauloLimaHQ/srpopogithub.com
thenicolas1894/awesome-claude-fable-5-prompt-vaultgithub.com
9093333310/scagentgithub.com