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Forecast 566c6483 · published 2026-08-18

Around 24 job postings mentioning automation are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–82, 80% coverage) — down from 481 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

Confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Sep 14–20, 2026
Predicted mentions
24 job postings
Direction
↓ Falling
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-09-20
Expires
2026-09-27

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
75 job postings
Off by
51 postings
Accuracy
32%
Direction
✗ Missed
Predicted range
✓ Actual fell inside it

Interval 0.0-82.0 covered the observed 75.0 (up) in 2026-W38; point estimate was 23.6 (down).

Observed history

automation — the series behind the fit

Jul 13–19, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 8 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 5 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 0 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 2 mentionsAug 17–23, 2026: 10 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

2 sources

93% from one source — treat as narrow

Last updated

2026-08-18

Reality validation

Predicted
23.63
Actual
75
Accuracy
32%
Direction
missed

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-09-20
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for automation

21 forecasts published, 15 scored, mean accuracy 42%.

Primary sources

12 sources
Ossamaf/Excel-Material-Cost-Calculatorgithub.com
mirichard/pm-tools-templatesgithub.com
Gusto, Inc.: Enterprise Application AI Architectjob listing
Biellgrimm/itbaagithub.com
josepha-mayo/mayogithub.com