SHIOSStrategic Honesty Intelligence
All forecasts

Forecast 46196c5a · published 2026-08-15

Around 5 job postings for program manager roles are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 3–7, 80% confidence) — up from 4 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Sep 7–13, 2026
Predicted mentions
5 job postings
Direction
↑ Rising
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-09-13
Expires
2026-09-20

Confidence at publication

17%

What happened

Outcome

Not yet scored. This forecast is still inside its review window, so nothing here is proven — it is a claim awaiting a verdict.

Observed history

program manager — the series behind the fit

Jul 6–12, 2026: 4 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 3 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 5 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 2 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 6 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 4 mentions

How we know

Evidence

24+

Confidence

17%

Source diversity

2 sources

83% from one source — treat as narrow

Last updated

2026-08-15

Reality validation

Not yet scored against reality.

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-09-13
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for program manager

7 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 79%.

Primary sources

12 sources
Lead UX Design Operations Program Managermail.google.com
Airtable: Program Manager, Professional Services - Eastjob listing
Senior Program Manager - Medical Devicesmail.google.com
Program Managermail.google.com
Digital Program Manager | Oracle Manufacturingmail.google.com