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Forecast d50eb8ba · published 2026-08-15

Around 5 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 0–11, 80% coverage) — up from 2 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.

Partially confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Sep 7–13, 2026
Predicted mentions
5 job postings
Direction
↑ Rising
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-09-13
Expires
2026-09-20

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions
38 job postings
Off by
33 postings
Accuracy
14%
Direction
✓ Called correctly
Predicted range
✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 0.0-10.5 missed the observed 38.0 (up) in 2026-W37; point estimate was 5.2 (up).

Observed history

aws — the series behind the fit

Jul 6–12, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 1 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 1 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 5 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 1 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 3 mentions

How we know

Evidence

24+

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

3 sources

Last updated

2026-08-15

Reality validation

Predicted
5.18
Actual
38
Accuracy
14%
Direction
called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-09-13
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for aws

14 forecasts published, 13 scored, mean accuracy 44%.

Primary sources

12 sources
METR/hawkgithub.com
salihoglueyup/salihoglueyupgithub.com
Netlight — Working Student Business Development / Pre-Sales Support (m/f/d)job listing
TTEC Digital — AWS Project Managermail.google.com
idealo internet GmbH — Senior Software Engineer (m|w|d) - Kotlin, Kafka, Reactjob listing