Forecast d50eb8ba · published 2026-08-15
What was claimed
Confidence at publication
What happened
Interval 0.0-10.5 missed the observed 38.0 (up) in 2026-W37; point estimate was 5.2 (up).
Observed history
How we know
Evidence
Confidence
Source diversity
3 sources
Last updated
2026-08-15
Reality validation
How this forecast was made
Track record for aws
14 forecasts published, 13 scored, mean accuracy 44%.
Primary sources