Forecast 8c7822a0 · published 2026-08-15
What was claimed
Confidence at publication
What happened
Interval 2.4-8.5 covered the observed 5.0 (up) in 2026-W37; point estimate was 5.5 (up).
Observed history
How we know
Evidence
Confidence
Source diversity
2 sources
Last updated
2026-08-15
Reality validation
How this forecast was made
Track record for product ownership
15 forecasts published, 9 scored, mean accuracy 24%.
Primary sources