Around 5 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026 (likely range: 0–11, 80% coverage) — down from 20 the week of Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026.

Partially confirmed

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period: Sep 28–Oct 4, 2026
Predicted mentions: 5 job postings
Direction: ↓ Falling
Method: Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by: 2026-10-04
Expires: 2026-10-11

Confidence at publication

Early signal

What happened

Outcome

Actual mentions: 16 job postings
Off by: 11 postings
Accuracy: 30%
Direction: ✓ Called correctly
Predicted range: ✗ Actual fell outside it

Interval 0.0-11.1 missed the observed 16.0 (down) in 2026-W40; point estimate was 4.7 (down).

Observed history

software engineer — the series behind the fit

Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 22 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 6 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 10 mentionsAug 17–23, 2026: 25 mentionsAug 24–30, 2026: 43 mentionsAug 31–Sep 6, 2026: 38 mentions

How we know

Evidence

40+

Confidence

Early signal

Source diversity

1 source

100% from one source — treat as narrow

Last updated

2026-08-31

Reality validation

Predicted: 4.72
Actual: 16
Accuracy: 30%
Direction: called correctly

How this forecast was made

Approach: Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead: 4 weeks
Checked against reality by: 2026-10-04
Can it be edited?: No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for software engineer

10 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 32%.

Primary sources

12 sources

Riege Software — Platform Engineer (m/w/d) mit Schwerpunkt Cloud2026-07-30job listing

Proxify AB — Senior Fullstack Developer (React.js / Node.js)2026-08-14job listing

Senior Software Engineer – Data Platform2026-08-15job listing

Gusto, Inc.: Staff Software Engineer, Time and Scheduling2026-08-09job listing

Staff Software Engineer2026-08-18job listing