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Forecast 6b002a24 · published 2026-07-30
Around 6 job postings for project manager roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 3–8, 80% coverage) — up from 3 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.
Partially confirmed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Aug 24–30, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 6 job postings
- Direction
- ↑ Rising
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-08-30
- Expires
- 2026-09-06
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 187 job postings
- Off by
- 181 postings
- Accuracy
- 3%
- Direction
- ✓ Called correctly
- Predicted range
- ✗ Actual fell outside it
Interval 3.0-8.4 missed the observed 187.0 (up) in 2026-W35; point estimate was 5.7 (up).
Observed history
project manager — the series behind the fit
Jun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 5 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 6 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 6 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 10 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 9 mentions
How we know
Evidence
26+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
2 sources
Last updated
2026-07-30
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 5.7
- Actual
- 187
- Accuracy
- 3%
- Direction
- called correctly
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-08-30
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for project manager
16 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 18%.
Primary sources
Holepunch: Product / Technical Project Manager (100% Remote, Worldwide)2026-06-30job listing