SHIOSStrategic Honesty Intelligence
All forecasts

Forecast 1f510d6d · published 2026-08-18

Around 6 job postings mentioning aws are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 1–11, 80% confidence) — down from 7 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.

What was claimed

The forecast

Target period
Sep 14–20, 2026
Predicted mentions
6 job postings
Direction
↓ Falling
Method
Linear trend fit with confidence interval
Review by
2026-09-20
Expires
2026-09-27

Confidence at publication

10%

What happened

Outcome

Not yet scored. This forecast is still inside its review window, so nothing here is proven — it is a claim awaiting a verdict.

Observed history

aws — the series behind the fit

Jul 13–19, 2026: 1 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 4 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 17 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 1 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 2 mentionsAug 17–23, 2026: 7 mentions

How we know

Evidence

32+

Confidence

10%

Source diversity

3 sources

Last updated

2026-08-18

Reality validation

Not yet scored against reality.

How this forecast was made

Approach
Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
How far ahead
4 weeks
Checked against reality by
2026-09-20
Can it be edited?
No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is

Track record for aws

8 forecasts published, 4 scored, mean accuracy 76%.

Primary sources

12 sources
METR/hawkgithub.com
salihoglueyup/salihoglueyupgithub.com
Working Student Business Development / Pre-Sales Support (m/f/d)job listing
AWS Project Managermail.google.com
Senior Software Engineer (m|w|d) - Kotlin, Kafka, Reactjob listing