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Forecast 85033c3e · published 2026-08-15
Around 6 job postings mentioning machine learning are expected the week of Sep 7–13, 2026 (likely range: 1–10, 80% coverage) — up from 1 the week of Aug 10–16, 2026.
Partially confirmed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Sep 7–13, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 6 job postings
- Direction
- ↑ Rising
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-09-13
- Expires
- 2026-09-20
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 15 job postings
- Off by
- 9 postings
- Accuracy
- 37%
- Direction
- ✓ Called correctly
- Predicted range
- ✗ Actual fell outside it
Interval 1.0-10.2 missed the observed 15.0 (up) in 2026-W37; point estimate was 5.6 (up).
Observed history
machine learning — the series behind the fit
Jul 6–12, 2026: 1 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 3 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 9 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 0 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 3 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 0 mentions
How we know
Evidence
29+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
2 sources
Last updated
2026-08-15
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 5.58
- Actual
- 15
- Accuracy
- 37%
- Direction
- called correctly
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-09-13
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for machine learning
10 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 56%.
Primary sources
Senior Machine Learning Engineer, Ads Content Understanding2026-07-14job listing