Forecasts
G
← All forecasts
Forecast 818907c9 · published 2026-08-18
Around 36 job postings for software engineer roles are expected the week of Sep 14–20, 2026 (likely range: 0–129, 80% coverage) — down from 768 the week of Aug 17–23, 2026.
Confirmed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Sep 14–20, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 36 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-09-20
- Expires
- 2026-09-27
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 23 job postings
- Off by
- 13 postings
- Accuracy
- 64%
- Direction
- ✓ Called correctly
- Predicted range
- ✓ Actual fell inside it
Interval 0.0-128.8 covered the observed 23.0 (down) in 2026-W38; point estimate was 36.1 (down).
Observed history
software engineer — the series behind the fit
Jul 13–19, 2026: 0 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 29 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 22 mentionsAug 3–9, 2026: 6 mentionsAug 10–16, 2026: 10 mentionsAug 17–23, 2026: 25 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
2 sources
Last updated
2026-08-18
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 36.15
- Actual
- 23
- Accuracy
- 64%
- Direction
- called correctly
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-09-20
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for software engineer
10 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 32%.
Primary sources
Gusto, Inc.: Staff Software Engineer, AI Developer Tools2026-07-22job listing
Python and Kubernetes Software Engineer – Data, Workflows, AI/ML & Analytics2026-07-21job listing
Software Engineer – Solutions Engineering2026-07-21job listing