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Forecast d1aa1922 · published 2026-08-19
Around 7 job postings for scrum master roles are expected the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 (likely range: 0–16, 80% coverage) — down from 20 the week of Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026.
Confirmed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 7 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-08-02
- Expires
- 2026-08-09
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 12 job postings
- Off by
- 5 postings
- Accuracy
- 62%
- Direction
- ✓ Called correctly
- Predicted range
- ✓ Actual fell inside it
Interval 0.0-15.8 covered the observed 12.0 (down) in 2026-W31; point estimate was 7.4 (down).
Observed history
scrum master — the series behind the fit
May 25–31, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 1–7, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 8–14, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 15–21, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 20 mentions
How we know
Evidence
20+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
1 source
100% from one source — treat as narrow
Last updated
2026-08-19
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 7.43
- Actual
- 12
- Accuracy
- 62%
- Direction
- called correctly
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-08-02
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for scrum master
20 forecasts published, 14 scored, mean accuracy 53%.
Primary sources