Forecast 816b976c · published 2026-07-29
What was claimed
Confidence at publication
What happened
Interval 2.2-13.8 covered the observed 8.0 (up) in 2026-W29; point estimate was 8.0 (up).
Observed history
How we know
Evidence
Confidence
Source diversity
0 sources
Last updated
2026-07-29
Reality validation
How this forecast was made
Track record for security
20 forecasts published, 14 scored, mean accuracy 38%.
No source documents resolve for this artefact.