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Forecast 5d01a87f · published 2026-07-30
Around 9 job postings for product manager roles are expected the week of Aug 24–30, 2026 (likely range: 5–14, 80% coverage) — down from 10 the week of Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026.
Missed
What was claimed
The forecast
- Target period
- Aug 24–30, 2026
- Predicted mentions
- 9 job postings
- Direction
- ↓ Falling
- Method
- Linear trend fit with confidence interval
- Review by
- 2026-08-30
- Expires
- 2026-09-06
Confidence at publication
Early signal
What happened
Outcome
- Actual mentions
- 92 job postings
- Off by
- 83 postings
- Accuracy
- 10%
- Direction
- ✗ Missed
- Predicted range
- ✗ Actual fell outside it
Interval 4.6-13.8 missed the observed 92.0 (up) in 2026-W35; point estimate was 9.2 (down).
Observed history
product manager — the series behind the fit
Jun 22–28, 2026: 0 mentionsJun 29–Jul 5, 2026: 12 mentionsJul 6–12, 2026: 4 mentionsJul 13–19, 2026: 6 mentionsJul 20–26, 2026: 8 mentionsJul 27–Aug 2, 2026: 10 mentions
How we know
Evidence
40+
Confidence
Early signal
Source diversity
2 sources
Last updated
2026-07-30
Reality validation
- Predicted
- 9.18
- Actual
- 92
- Accuracy
- 10%
- Direction
- missed
How this forecast was made
- Approach
- Linear trend fitted to recent weekly counts, with a range to account for uncertainty
- How far ahead
- 4 weeks
- Checked against reality by
- 2026-08-30
- Can it be edited?
- No — forecasts are locked at publication and scored as-is
Track record for product manager
16 forecasts published, 10 scored, mean accuracy 26%.
Primary sources
Coin Market Cap: Technical AI Product Manager2026-06-30job listing
Accuweather Careers: Product Manager, Mapping and Weather Visualization2026-06-30job listing
Highlevel: Staff Product Manager - Conversations2026-06-30job listing